In August 2021, the radical Taliban movement took control of almost the entire territory of Afghanistan. Fearing for their lives, many Afghan citizens want to flee the country. The prospect of a migrant influx from Afghanistan greatly concerns the Central Asian countries, since radical Islamists may also cross the border along with the displaced population. To effectively counter and be prepared for different scenarios, the Central Asian countries have been strengthening their borders and enlisting the support of fellow member states of regional associations, such as the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO).
The new Policy Brief 'Impact of the Situation in Afghanistan on the Central Asian Countries: Implications for Migration' authored by Ulan Nogoibaev describes the situation in Afghanistan and the related policies of the Central Asian countries in terms of possible forced displacements.
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About the author
Mr Ulan Nogoibaev is the Deputy Head of the Secretariat of the Migration Council under the Speaker of the Parliament of the Kyrgyz Republic. From 2013 to 2019, he worked as an external communications expert in the Secretariat of the National Council for Sustainable Development of the Kyrgyz Republic of the Office of the President of the Kyrgyz Republic. He has experience as a consultant in development projects for UNDP, OSCE, USAID, World Bank and ICMPD. In 2013-2019, he conducted a socio-economic research in Osh, Jalal-Abad and Batken regions, funded by UN agencies, USAID and ICMPD. The results of this study helped the UNDP Osh office to raise additional funds from the UN Trust Fund for the implementation of development projects in the Osh region, including in remote mountainous areas. Mr Nogoibaev studied international economics and international relations at the Diplomatic Academy in Vienna, the Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Kyrgyz Republic and the American University in Kyrgyzstan (now AUCA). He is fluent in Kyrgyz, Russian, English and Turkish.